Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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No one can predict the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to give it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a small however feisty 14 Billion specification design, our AI is boldly predicting the unforeseeable. Join us as we attempt to respond to mankind's hardest concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pushing concerns that are less easy to select. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - research study paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion specification model which is actually on the smaller side. (Some price quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from many months earlier so we have actually constructed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown area to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following concerns to our AI and assessed its response. While we have actually seen forecast enhancements from our training, use these estimates for prop wagering at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the ?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...

First, I'll look at the key points from the short articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his profession, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are excited, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly provided remarks Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not attending to the speculation straight.

I believe the key points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the chances and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, considering all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm attempting to determine the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand just what a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the move. The post discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is pretty high. ... I also need to believe about the defensive techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are aware of the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they may adjust their defense accordingly, which could either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than 5 looks like a considerable number however possible offered their confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% possibility. This accounts for their preparation, self-confidence in the strategy, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it several times, especially if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That seems significant because it shows he's done it in the past, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent short articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could imply he's less most likely to attend to Trump this time.

However, he's likewise associated with a feud with Drake, which may offer him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel match from Drake, so maybe he's cautious about consisting of any controversial tunes in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements during the halftime show, so there's a threat that such material might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold moves on huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may provide him more innovative freedom. Plus, his previous behavior suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.

But I likewise remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might suggest he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal issues, and the occasion's context-the possibility seems to be moderately high, perhaps around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity

Lets be honest, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its prediction? Appears like theres somewhat of a chance that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't imply to cause offense and that he really discovered it funny himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and loves cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in eating, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 very bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and thinks anything can occur when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to find out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historic information that may affect this prediction.

First, I review the posts provided. They all mention the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually shown up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a small edge, however it's not a big distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually considered random. The small historical edge for tails might be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, in some cases people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I ought to consider whether this historical predisposition should affect the probability.

After thinking of it, I choose that while the historical information reveals a small preference for tails, it's not statistically significant adequate to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the slight historical edge exists however doesn't override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the very same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI states the opportunities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the probability that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of articles that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful employ current games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does appear to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, vetlek.ru Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ridiculous." They say there's no proof of organized bias. That's a strong statement from the people in charge. If they're denying it, it might suggest there's no real basis or they would have addressed it differently if there was some truth to it.

Looking at the posts, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that analytical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have been punished more since 2022. That's interesting due to the fact that if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect fewer charges, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely very low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't eliminate every possibility, however exceptionally not likely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.