Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With up to date news and a little but spirited 14 Billion parameter design, our AI is boldly predicting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to answer humanity's most difficult concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, simply as 2 years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pushing questions that are less simple to pin down. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has actually been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be much better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some interesting enhancements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion criterion design which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from many months back so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its best prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following questions to our AI and assessed its response. While we have actually seen prediction improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop wagering at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...

First, I'll look at the crucial points from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are delighted, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically offered remarks Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not attending to the speculation straight.

I think the crucial points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, possibly around 5%, considering all elements.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable attempts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm attempting to determine the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I also require to consider the protective techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might change their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than 5 appears like a considerable number but possible given their self-confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it several times, specifically if it's reliable early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime show performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears substantial because it shows he's done it previously, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current short articles, bbarlock.com it points out that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That could indicate he's less most likely to address Trump this time.

However, he's likewise associated with a feud with Drake, which may provide him to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation suit from Drake, so maybe he bewares about including any questionable tunes in the efficiency. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent event, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations during the halftime program, so there's a threat that such material may be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making strong carry on big phases. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which may give him more innovative liberty. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public performances.

But I also remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, current shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the occasion's context-the possibility seems to be reasonably high, perhaps around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the fact that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Looks like theres rather of a possibility that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't suggest to cause offense and that he actually found it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's an article particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who enjoys consuming, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never fails?" You can't trick the makers !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can occur when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historic data that may affect this prediction.

First, I review the short articles offered. They all discuss the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has come up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a small edge, but it's not a big difference.

However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is typically considered random. The small historic edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making predictions, often individuals weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I should consider whether this historic predisposition needs to influence the probability.

After considering it, I decide that while the historic data shows a small preference for tails, it's not statistically significant adequate to move the probability far from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the minor historical edge exists but does not override the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely believe the exact same. BUT, its authorities now due to the fact that our AI states the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to find out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of posts that talk about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful hire current games, especially the AFC National championship. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get irritated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "outrageous." They say there's no evidence of methodical predisposition. That's a strong statement from the individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may imply there's no real basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some fact to it.

Looking at the posts, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have been punished more because 2022. That's fascinating due to the fact that if they were getting special treatment, you might anticipate less penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero since you can't dismiss every possibility, however incredibly unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the video game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the video game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was wrong about everything, at least it can gain from this.