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Opened Jan 12, 2025 by Deloris Scammell@delorisscammel
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Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop


Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)

By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling prices and also lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending the business's share cost down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the price of routine diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to their plants to produce sustainable diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent industry.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had anticipated given that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.

"Renewable items' prices have actually been negatively affected by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel rate during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.

"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not decreased and renewable item market rate premiums have actually stayed weak," the company included.

Industry executives and experts have actually said quickly broadening Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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Reference: delorisscammel/mission-newenergy-limited#3